Thursday, October 25, 2012

Breaking the 300 Barrier

I love old school football. I love seeing teams pound the ball inside the tackles for tough yards. I want to see individual players like Marshawn Lynch, Adrian Peterson, and Arian Foster get 20-25 carries a game. Yet, we are clearly in the midst of a deterioration of this aspect of the game. I am disgusted, to say the least, with teams passing the ball excessively. From a fan's perspective, it takes away from the balance of the game. Am I going to stop watching football because of this? No, I won't. But, I do think that the running game is just as important to viewing experience.  Too often teams want to go for the big game-changing play downfield, and that can result in poor decisions and bad throws by the quarterback, leading to costly turnovers.
Atlanta Falcons quarterback Matt Ryan benefits from a new era in football where he is encouraged to showcase all his skills.
Maybe it's just me, but I find this part of the game to be a fairly simple concept. Running the ball helps to set up play action. The play action helps to draw in the safeties and THEN you take the shot downfield against single coverage with no safety help. Teams with very good running backs continue to fail to get their playmakers going. Now for some fans, it is exciting to see this new phase of the NFL because it gives the feeling that anything can happen if you throw the ball. The grind of the simple rush just isn't as appetizing anymore. But, if some teams implemented the run more often,  a couple of them  would have significantly better records.

Haven't noticed a change? According to ESPN, in the 2010 regular season, a total of seven players (Michael Turner, ATL; Steven Jackson, STL;  Arian Foster, HOU;  Rashard Mendenhall, PIT;  Cedric Benson, CIN;  Chris Johnson, TEN;  Ray Rice, BAL) eclipsed the 300 rushing attempts total for one season. Jacksonville Jaguars running back, Maurice Jones-Drew, missed the mark by one attempt. In the 2011 regular season, a total of two players (Jones-Drew and Turner) surpassed 300 rush attempts. Are you kidding me!?! Only two!?! What caused this drop off of 300-plus carries?

The 2012 season is no different. So far this season, six players are on pace to break 300 attempts.

         Player                                   Carries Through Week 7                   Carries On Pace For

Arian Foster (HOU)                                         168                                                    384

Marshawn Lynch (SEA)                                   147                                                    336

Alfred Morris (WAS)                                       138                                                    315

Adrian Peterson (MIN)                                    136                                                    310

Steven Ridley (NE)                                          135                                                    309

Jamaal Charles (KC)                                       115                                                     307

* Has had a bye week


Houston Texan running back Arian Foster is leading the league with 168 carries.

Seriously, how many of these guys do we expect to get 300 carries? Anyone could get hurt tomorrow. Some could lose their starting jobs. I'd say Foster, Lynch, and Peterson are locks at this point. Ridley plays on a team with a guy by the name of Tom Brady. Because of that, I don't think he has a shot. Alfred Morris has been playing really well. But is that enough for Mike Shanahan to stick with him the whole season? We all know how he likes to switch things up on us. Jamaal Charles's totals are a tad bit bloated as 64 of his 115 carries have been in two different games.

Having said all of that, other players such as LeSean McCoy (PHI) and Chris Johnson (TEN) could certainly break the 300 mark. But, let's just say for the sake of argument that four players this season break 300. Remember, in 2010, seven players eclipsed that mark. In the past two seasons, we would still have one fewer player reach 300 than in 2010. Clearly, we are in the midst of a passing era in football.


For more ESPN season statistics click the links below...
http://espn.go.com/nfl/statistics/player/_/stat/rushing/sort/rushingAttempts/year/2010
http://espn.go.com/nfl/statistics/player/_/stat/rushing/sort/rushingAttempts/year/2011
http://espn.go.com/nfl/statistics/player/_/stat/rushing/sort/rushingAttempts